{"opportunities":{"schema":"opportunity_timeline.v1","as_of":"2026-08-13","priced_through":{"CN":null,"HK":null,"US":"2026-08-12"},"events":[{"id":"opp_bbb7bdb191233e892e11","market":"US","system":"prophet_board","definition":"confluence","authority":"candidate","surfaced_at":"2026-07-28","entry_date":"2026-07-29","entry_basis":"next_session_close","entry_price":142.91,"rank":63,"tier":null,"state":"stopped","maturity":"matured","latest_price":127.54,"return_pct":-10.8,"excess_pct":-16.65,"sessions":10,"source_artifact":"site/factordata/us_track_ledger.json","source_as_of":"2026-08-12","priced_through":"2026-08-12"}]},"indicator":{"schema":"mastermind.indicator/v1","indicator":{"id":"confluence_rsimacd_stochrsi_mtf","title":"RSI-MACD × StochRSI MTF Confluence","engine":"python:signal_layer.confluence_v2@v2","source_lang":"python","source_hash":"sha256:f27a407bea861a2217477beb98c398abc62845d2bcc38d331d4963c06471986d","macd_kind":"rsi_based","params":{"confW":8,"rsiLen":14,"useMTF":true,"confirmTF":"1W","macd_on":"rsi","macd_fast":14,"macd_slow":60,"macd_signal":5,"buy_rsi_max":65,"ext_rsi":70,"rev_bars":3,"no_cut_exits":true,"reclaim_lane":true}},"symbol":"PLMR","timeframe":"3D","as_of":"2026-08-13T00:00:00Z","bar_quality":"real_ohlc","signal_era":"gc_v2_wo2","signals":[{"ts":"2020-02-26","known_ts":"2020-02-26","bar_index":72,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":53.04,"stop_level":56.62,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2020-04-09","known_ts":"2020-04-14","bar_index":83,"type":"BUY","strength":0.588,"price":56.52,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"veto: bearish divergence","tier":"base","score":45},{"ts":"2020-07-14","known_ts":"2020-07-14","bar_index":104,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":85.73,"stop_level":87.44,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2020-07-28","known_ts":"2020-07-28","bar_index":108,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":87.51,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2020-07-14 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2020-09-08","known_ts":"2020-09-08","bar_index":117,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":98.95,"stop_level":100.31,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2020-09-09","known_ts":"2020-09-09","bar_index":118,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":105.37,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2020-09-08 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"anchor_ts":"2020-09-08","prior_stop_level":100.31,"sweep_low":88.76,"atr14":6.215619,"stop_level":85.65219,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2020-12-08","known_ts":"2020-12-10","bar_index":139,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"early_dot","quality":"washout_early_watch","quality_reason":"early momentum turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2020-12-08","trigger_known_ts":"2020-12-10","strength":0.45,"price":73.08,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","early_momentum_turn"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.387118,"monthly_oversold_dwell":0,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":65.058,"atr14":4.10869,"stop_level":63.003655,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2020-12-16","known_ts":"2020-12-18","bar_index":141,"type":"BUY","strength":0.588,"price":88.51,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"take","quality_reason":"held confirmation","tier":"base","score":45},{"ts":"2021-02-17","known_ts":"2021-02-17","bar_index":154,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":102.39,"stop_level":104.35,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-02-19","known_ts":"2021-02-19","bar_index":155,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":99.79,"stop_level":104.35,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-03-29","known_ts":"2021-03-31","bar_index":164,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"early_dot","quality":"washout_early_watch","quality_reason":"early momentum turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2021-03-29","trigger_known_ts":"2021-03-31","strength":0.45,"price":67.04,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","early_momentum_turn"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.437773,"monthly_oversold_dwell":0,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":62.27,"atr14":4.430266,"stop_level":60.054867,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2021-04-15","known_ts":"2021-04-19","bar_index":168,"type":"BUY","strength":0.45,"price":71.62,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"regime_blocked","quality_reason":"bear_block: monthly-bear & below-200 & 2W-not-bull","tier":null,"score":null,"blocked":true},{"ts":"2021-04-15","known_ts":"2021-04-19","bar_index":168,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"blocked_trigger","quality":"washout_trigger_watch","quality_reason":"blocked Oracle turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2021-04-15","trigger_known_ts":"2021-04-19","strength":0.45,"price":71.62,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","raw_buy_trigger"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.399363,"monthly_oversold_dwell":0,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":70.59,"atr14":3.993666,"stop_level":68.593167,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2021-05-06","known_ts":"2021-05-06","bar_index":173,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.45,"price":66.5,"stop_level":69.81,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-06-28","known_ts":"2021-06-28","bar_index":185,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":75.84,"stop_level":76.08,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-06-29","known_ts":"2021-06-29","bar_index":185,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.588,"price":76.22,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2021-06-28 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2021-06-28","prior_stop_level":76.08,"sweep_low":75.4,"atr14":2.566404,"stop_level":74.116798,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2021-07-09","known_ts":"2021-07-09","bar_index":187,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":75.12,"stop_level":75.46,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-07-28","known_ts":"2021-07-28","bar_index":192,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":81.43,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2021-07-09 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-08-17","known_ts":"2021-08-17","bar_index":196,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":78.65,"stop_level":80.45,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-08-18","known_ts":"2021-08-18","bar_index":197,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.725,"price":80.94,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2021-08-17 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2021-08-17","prior_stop_level":80.45,"sweep_low":77.0,"atr14":3.477006,"stop_level":75.261497,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2021-08-31","known_ts":"2021-08-31","bar_index":200,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":93.8,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2021-08-17 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-09-14","known_ts":"2021-09-14","bar_index":203,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":86.34,"stop_level":86.71,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-10-26","known_ts":"2021-10-28","bar_index":213,"type":"BUY","strength":0.725,"price":88.47,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"take","quality_reason":"held confirmation","tier":"base","score":35},{"ts":"2021-11-17","known_ts":"2021-11-17","bar_index":218,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":86.97,"stop_level":90.1,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2021-11-22","known_ts":"2021-11-22","bar_index":219,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":83.86,"stop_level":90.1,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-01-21","known_ts":"2022-01-25","bar_index":233,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"early_dot","quality":"washout_early_watch","quality_reason":"early momentum turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2022-01-21","trigger_known_ts":"2022-01-25","strength":0.45,"price":47.24,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","early_momentum_turn"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.580052,"monthly_oversold_dwell":1,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":44.01,"atr14":2.871324,"stop_level":42.574338,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2022-02-03","known_ts":"2022-02-07","bar_index":236,"type":"BUY","strength":0.45,"price":54.66,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"regime_blocked","quality_reason":"bear_block: monthly-bear & below-200 & 2W-not-bull","tier":null,"score":null,"blocked":true},{"ts":"2022-02-03","known_ts":"2022-02-07","bar_index":236,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"blocked_trigger","quality":"washout_trigger_watch","quality_reason":"blocked Oracle turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2022-02-03","trigger_known_ts":"2022-02-07","strength":0.45,"price":54.66,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","raw_buy_trigger"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.51409,"monthly_oversold_dwell":2,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":46.99,"atr14":3.075263,"stop_level":45.452369,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2022-04-11","known_ts":"2022-04-11","bar_index":251,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":61.43,"stop_level":62.31,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-04-13","known_ts":"2022-04-13","bar_index":252,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":61.85,"stop_level":62.31,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-05-13","known_ts":"2022-05-17","bar_index":259,"type":"BUY","strength":0.725,"price":62.0,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"failed reclaim-and-hold","tier":"base","score":70},{"ts":"2022-06-16","known_ts":"2022-06-16","bar_index":266,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":54.43,"stop_level":61.96,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-06-17","known_ts":"2022-06-22","bar_index":267,"type":"REBUY","strength":0.725,"price":60.87,"reasons":["fast_reversal_up","sell_failed"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"take","quality_reason":"held confirmation","tier":"base","score":80},{"ts":"2022-06-21","known_ts":"2022-06-21","bar_index":267,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":56.78,"stop_level":61.96,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-06-24","known_ts":"2022-06-24","bar_index":268,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.725,"price":64.52,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2022-06-16 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2022-06-16","prior_stop_level":61.96,"sweep_low":53.63,"atr14":3.151735,"stop_level":52.054133,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2022-06-24","known_ts":"2022-06-24","bar_index":268,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.725,"price":64.52,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2022-06-21 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2022-06-21","prior_stop_level":61.96,"sweep_low":56.015,"atr14":3.151735,"stop_level":54.439133,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2022-07-08","known_ts":"2022-07-08","bar_index":271,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.725,"price":61.5,"stop_level":61.94,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-08-02","known_ts":"2022-08-04","bar_index":277,"type":"BUY","strength":0.863,"price":70.04,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"take","quality_reason":"held confirmation","tier":"base","score":65},{"ts":"2022-09-22","known_ts":"2022-09-22","bar_index":289,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":84.17,"stop_level":84.18,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2022-09-28","known_ts":"2022-09-28","bar_index":290,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":86.85,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2022-09-22 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2022-09-22","prior_stop_level":84.18,"sweep_low":81.97,"atr14":3.16491,"stop_level":80.387545,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2022-10-10","known_ts":"2022-10-10","bar_index":293,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":88.83,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2022-09-22 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2022-10-19","known_ts":"2022-10-19","bar_index":295,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":84.76,"stop_level":88.83,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2023-01-13","known_ts":"2023-01-18","bar_index":315,"type":"BUY","strength":0.588,"price":51.19,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"counter-trend, no 200-reclaim/hold","tier":"base","score":15},{"ts":"2023-02-14","known_ts":"2023-02-14","bar_index":322,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":49.37,"stop_level":49.67,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2023-02-15","known_ts":"2023-02-15","bar_index":322,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.588,"price":52.51,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2023-02-14 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":true},"anchor_ts":"2023-02-14","prior_stop_level":49.67,"sweep_low":48.84,"atr14":1.99939,"stop_level":47.840305,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2023-03-07","known_ts":"2023-03-07","bar_index":326,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":59.59,"stop_level":60.0,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2023-03-17","known_ts":"2023-03-17","bar_index":329,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":51.45,"stop_level":60.0,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2023-05-19","known_ts":"2023-05-23","bar_index":344,"type":"BUY","strength":0.863,"price":51.48,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"failed reclaim-and-hold","tier":"base","score":55},{"ts":"2023-05-30","known_ts":"2023-06-01","bar_index":346,"type":"BUY","strength":0.588,"price":52.93,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"counter-trend, no 200-reclaim/hold","tier":"base","score":55,"retro_override":true,"retro_ctx":{"group_id":"Financials"}},{"ts":"2023-08-14","known_ts":"2023-08-14","bar_index":363,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":55.24,"stop_level":56.21,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2023-11-06","known_ts":"2023-11-06","bar_index":383,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":58.5,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2023-08-14 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2023-12-15","known_ts":"2023-12-15","bar_index":392,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":58.25,"stop_level":60.15,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-01-11","known_ts":"2024-01-11","bar_index":398,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":61.05,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2023-12-15 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-01-17","known_ts":"2024-01-19","bar_index":399,"type":"BUY","strength":1.0,"price":62.5,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"failed reclaim-and-hold","tier":"base","score":30},{"ts":"2024-01-25","known_ts":"2024-01-29","bar_index":401,"type":"BUY","strength":1.0,"price":61.62,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"failed reclaim-and-hold","tier":"base","score":45},{"ts":"2024-03-11","known_ts":"2024-03-11","bar_index":411,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":73.3,"stop_level":73.61,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-03-12","known_ts":"2024-03-12","bar_index":411,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":74.15,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2024-03-11 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"anchor_ts":"2024-03-11","prior_stop_level":73.61,"sweep_low":71.54,"atr14":2.222425,"stop_level":70.428787,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2024-03-26","known_ts":"2024-03-26","bar_index":415,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":83.83,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2024-03-11 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-04-04","known_ts":"2024-04-04","bar_index":417,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":80.56,"stop_level":81.7,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-08-05","known_ts":"2024-08-05","bar_index":445,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":88.25,"stop_level":88.7,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-08-06","known_ts":"2024-08-06","bar_index":445,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":92.99,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2024-08-05 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"anchor_ts":"2024-08-05","prior_stop_level":88.7,"sweep_low":82.545,"atr14":3.631697,"stop_level":80.729152,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2024-08-13","known_ts":"2024-08-15","bar_index":447,"type":"REBUY","strength":0.863,"price":94.91,"reasons":["fast_reversal_up","sell_failed"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"failed reclaim-and-hold","tier":"base","score":40},{"ts":"2024-08-21","known_ts":"2024-08-23","bar_index":449,"type":"REBUY","strength":1.0,"price":99.04,"reasons":["fast_reversal_up","sell_failed"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"block","quality_reason":"veto: bearish divergence","tier":"base","score":30},{"ts":"2024-09-06","known_ts":"2024-09-06","bar_index":452,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":94.51,"stop_level":97.33,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-10-03","known_ts":"2024-10-03","bar_index":459,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":95.49,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2024-09-06 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-11-11","known_ts":"2024-11-13","bar_index":468,"type":"BUY","strength":0.725,"price":101.0,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"quality":"take","quality_reason":"held confirmation","tier":"base","score":45},{"ts":"2024-12-09","known_ts":"2024-12-09","bar_index":474,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":107.38,"stop_level":108.13,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2024-12-11","known_ts":"2024-12-11","bar_index":475,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":1.0,"price":108.45,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2024-12-09 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true},"anchor_ts":"2024-12-09","prior_stop_level":108.13,"sweep_low":103.14,"atr14":3.696151,"stop_level":101.291924,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2024-12-20","known_ts":"2024-12-20","bar_index":477,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":1.0,"price":104.93,"stop_level":105.68,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2025-02-13","known_ts":"2025-02-13","bar_index":489,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":124.13,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2024-12-20 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":true}},{"ts":"2025-10-28","known_ts":"2025-10-28","bar_index":548,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.45,"price":112.76,"stop_level":113.08,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2025-10-31","known_ts":"2025-10-31","bar_index":549,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.45,"price":114.01,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2025-10-28 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2025-10-28","prior_stop_level":113.08,"sweep_low":110.98,"atr14":3.454763,"stop_level":109.252618,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2025-12-03","known_ts":"2025-12-03","bar_index":556,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":117.98,"stop_level":121.66,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2025-12-18","known_ts":"2025-12-18","bar_index":560,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.725,"price":136.67,"scored":true,"quality":"reclaim","quality_reason":"trend reclaimed the 2025-12-03 sell level","reasons":["close>sell_price","weekly_bull","above200","debounced"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2026-01-23","known_ts":"2026-01-23","bar_index":567,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":124.95,"stop_level":127.57,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2026-02-11","known_ts":"2026-02-13","bar_index":572,"type":"BUY","strength":0.588,"price":132.1,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"regime_blocked","quality_reason":"bear_block: monthly-bear & below-200 & 2W-not-bull","tier":null,"score":null,"blocked":true},{"ts":"2026-03-23","known_ts":"2026-03-25","bar_index":581,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"early_dot","quality":"washout_early_watch","quality_reason":"early momentum turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2026-03-23","trigger_known_ts":"2026-03-25","strength":0.45,"price":121.84,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","early_momentum_turn"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.306427,"monthly_oversold_dwell":4,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":114.75,"atr14":4.220743,"stop_level":112.639628,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2026-04-06","known_ts":"2026-04-08","bar_index":584,"type":"BUY","strength":0.588,"price":128.35,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"take","quality_reason":"held confirmation","tier":"base","score":65},{"ts":"2026-05-04","known_ts":"2026-05-04","bar_index":590,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.588,"price":115.55,"stop_level":116.66,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2026-05-18","known_ts":"2026-05-20","bar_index":594,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"early_dot","quality":"washout_early_watch","quality_reason":"early momentum turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2026-05-18","trigger_known_ts":"2026-05-20","strength":0.45,"price":115.81,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","early_momentum_turn"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.340753,"monthly_oversold_dwell":6,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":107.51,"atr14":4.439928,"stop_level":105.290036,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2026-06-09","known_ts":"2026-06-11","bar_index":599,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"early_dot","quality":"washout_early_watch","quality_reason":"early momentum turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2026-06-09","trigger_known_ts":"2026-06-11","strength":0.45,"price":115.15,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","early_momentum_turn"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.284472,"monthly_oversold_dwell":7,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":100.81,"atr14":4.377559,"stop_level":98.62122,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2026-06-12","known_ts":"2026-06-16","bar_index":600,"type":"BUY","strength":0.45,"price":114.07,"reasons":["macd_bull_cross","recent_b1","confirm_bull","rsi<65"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"quality":"regime_blocked","quality_reason":"bear_block: monthly-bear & below-200 & 2W-not-bull","tier":null,"score":null,"blocked":true},{"ts":"2026-06-12","known_ts":"2026-06-16","bar_index":600,"type":"BOTTOM_WATCH","scored":false,"subtype":"blocked_trigger","quality":"washout_trigger_watch","quality_reason":"blocked Oracle turn inside a point-in-time own-name washout","trigger_ts":"2026-06-12","trigger_known_ts":"2026-06-16","strength":0.45,"price":114.07,"reasons":["bear_block","own_name_washout","raw_buy_trigger"],"washout_ctx":{"rule":"bear_block & (dd252<=-35% | monthly_os_dwell>=3) & recent_3d_os","drawdown_252":-0.287152,"monthly_oversold_dwell":7,"recent_3d_oversold":true},"regime":{"weeklyBull":false,"above200":false,"monthlyBull":false},"sweep_low":102.37,"atr14":4.158086,"stop_level":100.290957,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2026-06-26","known_ts":"2026-06-26","bar_index":603,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.725,"price":126.39,"scored":true,"quality":"block_repair","quality_reason":"bear-block legs repaired after the 2026-06-12 blocked entry","reasons":["bear_block_cleared","macd_cross_still_live"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2026-07-22","known_ts":"2026-07-22","bar_index":608,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":130.45,"stop_level":131.69,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}},{"ts":"2026-07-24","known_ts":"2026-07-24","bar_index":609,"type":"RECLAIM","strength":0.863,"price":137.56,"scored":false,"quality":"stop_sweep_reclaim","quality_reason":"price reclaimed the 2026-07-22 structure-stop level within five sessions","reasons":["close_reclaimed_stop_level","within_5_sessions","failed_breakdown"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false},"anchor_ts":"2026-07-22","prior_stop_level":131.69,"sweep_low":127.39,"atr14":5.541364,"stop_level":124.619318,"risk_basis":"daily_ohlc_atr14"},{"ts":"2026-08-07","known_ts":"2026-08-07","bar_index":612,"type":"SELL","basis":"structure_stop","strength":0.863,"price":131.0,"stop_level":133.79,"reasons":["distribution_confirmed","structure_break"],"regime":{"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true,"monthlyBull":false}}],"state":{"position_hint":"flat","last_signal":"SELL","last_scored_signal":"SELL","last_scored_ts":"2026-08-07","last_scored_basis":"structure_stop","bars_since_signal":2,"extended":false,"strong_bull":false,"overbought":false,"weeklyBull":true,"above200":true},"early_dots":["2019-10-14","2019-11-12","2020-01-06","2020-03-19","2020-09-30","2020-10-16","2021-01-08","2021-03-08","2021-10-13","2021-12-21","2022-11-30","2022-12-30","2023-05-03","2023-08-29","2023-10-06","2024-01-11","2024-04-22","2024-05-08","2024-06-26","2024-08-05","2024-10-11","2024-11-06","2025-07-14","2025-08-07","2025-09-19"],"warnings":[{"ts":"2022-09-22","kind":"confirm","px":84.17,"level":84.18},{"ts":"2022-10-13","kind":"arm","px":91.92},{"ts":"2022-10-19","kind":"confirm","px":84.76,"level":88.83},{"ts":"2023-01-26","kind":"arm","px":50.0},{"ts":"2023-02-14","kind":"confirm","px":49.37,"level":49.67},{"ts":"2023-03-06","kind":"arm","px":60.43},{"ts":"2023-03-07","kind":"confirm","px":59.59,"level":60.0},{"ts":"2023-03-16","kind":"arm","px":55.27},{"ts":"2023-03-17","kind":"confirm","px":51.45,"level":60.0},{"ts":"2023-06-16","kind":"arm","px":56.11},{"ts":"2023-08-03","kind":"arm","px":57.76},{"ts":"2023-08-14","kind":"confirm","px":55.24,"level":56.21},{"ts":"2023-11-21","kind":"arm","px":59.61},{"ts":"2023-12-15","kind":"confirm","px":58.25,"level":60.15},{"ts":"2024-03-05","kind":"arm","px":73.61},{"ts":"2024-03-11","kind":"confirm","px":73.3,"level":73.61},{"ts":"2024-04-03","kind":"arm","px":82.64},{"ts":"2024-04-04","kind":"confirm","px":80.56,"level":81.7},{"ts":"2024-07-30","kind":"arm","px":92.05},{"ts":"2024-08-05","kind":"confirm","px":88.25,"level":88.7},{"ts":"2024-08-12","kind":"arm","px":87.9},{"ts":"2024-09-05","kind":"arm","px":96.08},{"ts":"2024-09-06","kind":"confirm","px":94.51,"level":97.33},{"ts":"2024-12-03","kind":"arm","px":108.13},{"ts":"2024-12-09","kind":"confirm","px":107.38,"level":108.13},{"ts":"2024-12-19","kind":"arm","px":103.81},{"ts":"2024-12-20","kind":"confirm","px":104.93,"level":105.68},{"ts":"2025-04-04","kind":"arm","px":133.28},{"ts":"2025-10-22","kind":"arm","px":113.08},{"ts":"2025-10-28","kind":"confirm","px":112.76,"level":113.08},{"ts":"2025-11-20","kind":"arm","px":121.66},{"ts":"2025-12-03","kind":"confirm","px":117.98,"level":121.66},{"ts":"2026-01-06","kind":"arm","px":130.7},{"ts":"2026-01-23","kind":"confirm","px":124.95,"level":127.57},{"ts":"2026-04-24","kind":"arm","px":126.07},{"ts":"2026-05-04","kind":"confirm","px":115.55,"level":116.66},{"ts":"2026-07-09","kind":"arm","px":139.18},{"ts":"2026-07-22","kind":"confirm","px":130.45,"level":131.69},{"ts":"2026-07-24","kind":"arm","px":137.56},{"ts":"2026-08-07","kind":"confirm","px":131.0,"level":133.79}],"meta":{"leakfree":true,"scored":false,"score_basis":"full","validated_against":"signal_layer/confluence.py","validation":{},"honest_read":"RSI-MACD × StochRSI MTF confluence on daily→3D. Risk/timing overlay.","warnings":[]}}}